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Fitch upgrades Nigeria’s credit rating to stable, cites confidence in Tinubu’s reforms

Published

1 year ago

April 12, 2025

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Fitch, a global rating agency, has reviewed Nigeria’s long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating (IDR) from negative to stable.

IDR is an entity’s relative vulnerability to default (including by way of a distressed debt exchange) on financial obligations.

In a statement on Friday, the agency said Nigeria’s outlook was revised to B’, from ‘B-‘.

“The upgrade reflects increased confidence in the government’s broad commitment to policy reforms implemented since its move to orthodox economic policies in June 2023, including exchange rate liberalisation, monetary policy tightening and steps to end deficit monetisation and remove fuel subsidies,” Fitch said.

“These have improved policy coherence and credibility and reduced economic distortions and near-term risks to macroeconomic stability, enhancing resilience in the context of persistent domestic challenges and heightened external risks.”

According to the statement, the stable outlook reflects Fitch’s expectation that the macroeconomic policy stance will support the move to lower inflation and sustain improvements in the foreign exchange (FX) market’s operation, though it will likely remain much higher than rating peers.

Additionally, the rating agency said “we anticipate a continued reduction in external vulnerabilities through further easing of domestic FC supply constraints, while renewed energy sector reforms should help sustain current account surpluses”.

“Greater formalisation of FX activity including the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) recent introduction of an electronic FX matching platform and a new FX code to enhance transparency and efficiency, along with monetary policy tightening, has led to a greater rise in FX liquidity and general stability in the FX market after a 40% depreciation in 2024, closing the spread between the official and parallel exchange rates,” Fitch said.

“Net official FX inflows through the CBN and autonomous sources rose by about 89% in 4Q24, compared to an 8% rise in 4Q23. We expect continued formalisation of FX activity to support the exchange rate, although we anticipate modest depreciation in the short term.

“The CBN has tightened monetary conditions through a combination of policy rate hikes to 27.5% (up 875bp since February 2024) and use of prudential and operational tools such as open market operations (at rates closely aligned to the MPR) to strengthen monetary policy transmission after years of financial repression.”

‘INFLATION TO AVERAGE 22 PERCENT IN 2025’

Furthermore, Fitch projected inflation, which hit 23.2 percent year-on-year in February under the recently rebased consumer price index (CPI), “to average 22% in 2025 (‘B’ median 4.3%) and 20% in 2026”.

The firm predicted a premature easing of monetary policy “that would undermine the benign effects of the policy adjustment, given high inflation”.

In the medium-term, Fitch said the rating was driven by Nigeria’s external reserves, which have rebounded significantly following recent policy reforms, although there are still challenges.

Also, the agency said gross official reserves reached $41 billion by the end of 2024, recovering from a low of $32 billion in mid-2024, but later declined to $38 billion due to increased debt service payments.

Fitch projected the current account surplus, estimated at 6.6 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024, to average 3.3 percent of GDP in 2025-2026.

“There is a lack of detail on the composition of reserves amid recent indications by the central bank that place net reserves at USD23 billion at end-2024, up from about USD4 billion at end-2023,” the agency said.

“Nonetheless, we estimate that roughly 14% of gross reserves comprise FX swaps with local banks, down from 25% in our November 2024 assessment, amid increased efforts by the CBN to reduce FX liabilities.”

‘NIGERIA’S OIL PRODUCTION TO INCREASE IN 2025′

Also, Fitch said Nigeria’s oil refining sector is poised for a boost in 2025 as the Dangote refinery scales up operations to reach 0.65 million barrels per day (bpd) capacity by the end of the second quarter from 0.55 mbpd currently.

“We expect crude oil production (excluding condensates) to increase in 2025-2026, averaging 1.43 mbpd, from 1.34 mbpd in 2024, helped by improved onshore surveillance and increased investments by local oil companies,” the company projected.

“However, underinvestment and production outages persist, constraining production below 2019 levels.”

Furthermore, Fitch predicted that the impact of US tariffs on Nigeria’s trade position with the US will be limited, amid the exclusion of oil-related exports, which accounted for about 92 percent of total exports (nearly 2 percent of GDP) to the US in 2023.

“Lower oil prices pose a bigger risk as they would weaken external buffers and fiscal metrics and test the new policy framework,” the agency said.

Nevertheless, Fitch said greater policy flexibility enhances Nigeria’s ability to deal with shocks.

Related Topics:Credit Rating Fitch Reforms

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Nigeria’s foreign reserves rise to $52.66 billion, highest in 17 years

Published

4 weeks ago

August 24, 2026

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Nigeria’s gross external reserves surged to $52.66 billion as of August 19, reaching their highest level in more than 17 years.

This was contained in the latest data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The reserves stood at $52.65 billion on August 19, up from $45.56 billion recorded on January 2, representing an increase of about $7.09 billion or 15.6 percent in less than eight months.

The latest position also surpasses the previous 2026 peak of about $52.04 billion recorded in July.

Data from the CBN showed that reserves crossed the $52 billion mark for the first time this year in July, reaching $52.02 billion on July 20.

The figure was the highest since January 2009, when reserves stood at about $52.01 billion.

The reserve position had declined earlier in the year, falling from $49.18 billion on April 1 to about $48.33 billion in early May.

It subsequently recovered, crossing the $50 billion mark in June and rising above $51 billion before surpassing $52 billion in July.

The governor of the CBN, Olayemi Cardoso, had earlier attributed the increase in reserves to stronger foreign exchange inflows, including receipts from crude-oil-related taxes and third-party inflows.

Cardoso also said the reserve level provided import cover for about 11 months of goods and services, significantly above the three-month international benchmark.

The increase in the external buffer has coincided with improved foreign exchange liquidity and a stronger naira.

Recent market data showed the naira appreciating to about N1,346.49 per dollar in the official market last week.

Also, in its 2026 macroeconomic outlook, the apex bank projected that Nigeria’s external reserves would rise to about $51.04 billion by the end of the year.

The latest figure is about $1.62 billion above that projection.

Business

Wema Bank wins Euromoney’s Nigeria’s best digital bank for consumers 2026 award

Published

2 months ago

July 20, 2026

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… Recognition affirms bank’s leadership in digital innovation and customer-centric banking

Wema Bank, Nigeria’s oldest indigenous bank and pioneer of Africa’s first fully digital bank, ALAT, recently added another feather to its already heavily-studded cap after it was named Nigeria’s Best Digital Bank for Consumers 2026 by Euromoney, one of the world’s most respected authorities on financial services and banking excellence.

The prestigious recognition affirms the Bank’s sustained leadership in digital innovation, customer experience and financial inclusion, reinforcing its position as one of Nigeria’s leading technology-driven financial institutions.

Presented annually, the Euromoney Awards for Excellence celebrate banks that are redefining financial services through innovation, measurable impact and outstanding customer value.

In selecting Wema Bank for the award, Euromoney recognised the Bank’s successful digital transformation journey, its continuous innovation through ALAT, Africa’s first fully digital bank, and its unwavering commitment to delivering simpler, smarter and more accessible banking experiences for customers.

Commenting on the recognition, the Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Wema Bank, Moruf Oseni, said: “This award is a strong validation of the deliberate investments we have made over the years to build a truly digital bank that puts customers at the centre of everything we do. Innovation for us has never been about technology for its own sake. It has always been about creating solutions that make banking easier, faster, safer and more rewarding for every customer.

“From pioneering Africa’s first fully digital bank with ALAT to continuously evolving our digital capabilities, we have remained focused on anticipating customer needs and building experiences that create real value. We are honoured by this recognition from Euromoney and inspired to continue pushing the boundaries of innovation as we shape the future of banking in Nigeria.”

A key milestone in Wema Bank’s digital transformation has been the evolution and upgraded version of ALAT, which introduced next-generation capabilities including voice banking, tap-to-pay functionality, personalised financial services and integrated investment opportunities through strategic partnerships.

Together with faster digital onboarding, AI-powered fraud monitoring, intelligent customer personalisation and an expanding agency banking network, these innovations continue to enhance customer experience while extending financial services to more Nigerians.

Euromoney also recognised Wema Bank’s ability to leverage technology to build deeper customer relationships through data-driven personalisation, enabling customers to receive tailored recommendations across savings, investments and credit products based on their financial needs and behaviour.

For over eight decades, Wema Bank has remained at the forefront of innovation in Nigeria’s financial services industry. As the pioneer of Africa’s first fully digital bank, the Bank continues to redefine banking by combining technology, customer insight and innovation to deliver seamless, secure and inclusive financial solutions for individuals, businesses and communities.

The Euromoney recognition further reinforces Wema Bank’s commitment to building the future of banking through continuous innovation, operational excellence and customer-centric solutions that create lasting value.

Business

CBN revokes licences of 46 microfinance banks

Published

3 months ago

July 2, 2026

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has revoked the operating licences of 46 microfinance banks (MFBs).

The apex bank cited the failure of the banks to meet regulatory requirements for continued operation.

In a statement issued on Wednesday by Hakama Sidi-Ali, acting director of corporate communications, the apex bank said the revocation took effect from July 1, 2026, in line with Sections 12 and 13 of the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA), 2020.

The CBN said the action was approved by Olayemi Cardoso, the apex bank governor, as part of efforts to safeguard the stability of the financial system, protect depositors and ensure compliance with regulatory standards.

“According to the revocation order, the action became necessary because of one or more of the circumstances: Insufficient assets to meet liabilities, closure of operations without the CBN approval, Inactivity and cessation of financial intermediation, failure to commence operations within 12 months of licence approval, and failure to maintain minimum capital funds unimpaired by losses,” CBN said.

“The revocation of the licences is part of the Bank’s ongoing efforts to safeguard the stability of the financial sector, protect depositors, and ensure that licensed institutions comply with current laws and regulatory requirements,” the statement reads.

CBN added that it remains committed to promoting a safe, sound and resilient financial system and would continue to take supervisory and regulatory actions where necessary to maintain public confidence in Nigeria’s financial sector.

The affected microfinance banks are:

1. Minji-Se Churchill MFB (tier 1) in Rivers

2. Merchant MFB (tier 2) in Abia

3. Janmaa MFB (tier 1) in Kwara

4. Busu MFB (tier 2) in Niger

5. Gold MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

6. Zain MFB, formerly Dawakin Tofa MFB, a tier 2 lender in Kano

7. Bompai MFB (tier 1) in Kano

8. Ajwa MFB (tier 2) in Kano

9. Now Now Digital MFB (tier 2) in Kano

10. Crystabel Microfinance Bank (tier 1) in Bayelsa

11. Chanelle MFB (state-based) in Lagos

12. Abia SME MFB (tier 1) in Abia

13. Kamba MFB (tier 2) in Kebbi

14. Iwade MFB (tier 2) in Ogun

15. Winview MFB (tier 1) in Abuja

16. Zuru MFB (tier 2) in Kebbi

17. Minjibir MFB (tier 1) in Kano

18. Shanono MFB (tier 2) in Kano

19. Sumaila MFB (tier 2) in Kano

20. Rimin Gado MFB (tier 2) in Kano

21. Mwaghavul MFB (state-based) in Plateau

22. Sycamore MFB (tier 2) Kano

23. TOFA MFB (tier 2) in Kano

24. Safegate MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

25. Creekline MFB (tier 2) in Delta

26. Bestar MFB (tier 1) in Oyo

27. Livingspring MFB (tier 1) in Cross River

28. Apple MFB (tier 2) in Ogun

29. Stanford MFB (state-based) in Uyo

30. Frontline MFB (tier 2) in Anambra

31. Zafec MFB (tier 2) in Kaduna

32. Supreme MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

33. Bejin-Doko MFB (tier 2) in Niger

34. Kanopoly MFB (tier 1) in Kano

35. Bellbank MFB, formerly Tsanyawa (Tier 2), in Kano

36. Yeneng MFB (tier 2) in Plateau

37. Creditville MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

38. MBAG MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

39. Straight Sahara MFB (tier 1) in Benue

40. Our Pass MFB (tier 2) in Ondo

41. VERDANT MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

42. Basawa MFB (tier 2) in Kaduna

43. Casha MFB (tier 2) in Abuja

44. Esteem MFB (tier 2) in Kano

45. Enterpreneur MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

46. Avantus MFB (tier 2) in Osun

It would be recalled that the CBN increased the capital base for banks, in March 2024, giving them until March 31, 2026, to meet the requirements.

On March 6, 2026, the financial regulator disclosed that 30 banks have met the minimum capital requirement.