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IMF downgrades Nigeria’s economic growth forecast to 3.1%

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The International Monetary Fund has cut its forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth in 2024 to 3.1 per cent.

 

The downgrade is contained in a newly released report ‘in the July 2024 World Economic Outlook’ published Tuesday.

 

The IMF cited a weaker growth recorded in the first quarter of the year, Q1’24 as reason for the new forecast.

 

The downgrade represents 0.2 percentage points below the earlier forecast of 3.3 per cent.
The downgrade followed weaker-than-expected Gross Domestic Product, GDP, and growth recorded by the country in Q1’23.

 

The IMF however retained its 3.0 per cent forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth in 2025.

 

It would be recalled that Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), showed that Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), growth dropped, quarter-on-quarter, QoQ to 2.98 per cent in Q1’24 from 3.46 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2023, Q3’23.

 

As a result of the lower forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth, the IMF also downgraded its forecast for Sub-Saharan economic growth in 2024 to 3.7 per cent from the April WEO forecast of 3.8 per cent. It however raised its economic growth forecast for the region in 2025 to 4.1 per cent from 4.0.

 

“The forecast for growth in sub-Saharan Africa is revised downward, mainly as a result of a 0.2 percentage point downward revision to the growth outlook in Nigeria amid weaker than expected activity in the first quarter of this year,” the IMF said.

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For the global economy, the IMF retained its growth forecasts of 3.2 per cent in 2024 and 3.3 per cent in 2025.

 

The IMF said: “The Global Economy in a Sticky Spot Global growth is projected to be in line with the April 2024 World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecast, at 3.2 per cent in 2024 and 3.3 per cent in 2025.

 

“However, varied momentum in activity at the turn of the year has somewhat narrowed the output divergence across economies as cyclical factors wane and activity becomes better aligned with its potential.

“Services price inflation is holding up progress on disinflation, which is complicating monetary policy normalization. Upside risks to inflation have thus increased, raising the prospect of higher-for-even-longer interest rates, in the context of escalating trade tensions and increased policy uncertainty.

 

“To manage these risks and preserve growth, the policy mix should be sequenced carefully to achieve price stability and replenish diminished buffers.”

 

The development comes on the heels of Nigeria’s inflation figure reaching a new high, hitting 34.19 % for June 2024, according to the latest data from the NBS.

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This is an increase of 0.24% compared to the inflation figure for May 2024 released by the NBS.

“In June 2024, the headline inflation rate increased to 34.19% relative to the May 2024 headline inflation rate which was 33.95%. Looking at the movement, the June 2024 headline inflation rate showed an increase of 0.24% points when compared to the May 2024 headline inflation rate,” the NBS said in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) – which measures the average change over time in the prices of goods and services consumed by people for day-to-day living – released on Monday.

 

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.40% points higher compared to the rate recorded in June 2023, which was 22.79%.”

 

According to the NBS, the headline inflation rate, year-on-year basis, jumped in June 2024 when compared to the same month in the last year.

 

It said on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in June 2024 was 2.31%, 0.17% higher than the rate recorded in May 2024 (2.14%).

 

“This means that in the month of June 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is higher than the rate of increase in the average price level in May 2024,” the agency said.

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As expected, there was a rise in food inflation for June 2024 in comparison with the figure recorded in May 2024.

 

“On a month-on-month basis, the Food inflation rate in June 2024 was 2.55% which shows a 0.26% increase compared to the rate recorded in May 2024 (2.28%),” the CPI report read.

 

According to the NBS, this hike was triggered by a rise in the average prices of food items such as groundnut oil, palm oil, etc (oil & fats class), water yam, cocoyam, cassava, etc (potatoes, yam & other tubers class), tobacco, catfish fresh, croaker, mudfish fresh, snail, etc, (fish class).

 

The Federal Government had in the wake of the galloping prices of essential commodities, reeled out a raft of measures to address the challenge. It recently suspended duties, tariffs, and taxes on the importation of maize, husked brown rice, wheat, and cowpeas through the country’s land and sea borders, for 150 days.

 

It also approved the procurement of 2,000 tractors, and 1,200 trailers and set up a committee to help in proffering solutions to the food crisis rocking the nation.

 

Experts have blamed insecurity, lack of equipment, and other issues as major challenges affecting food production in Nigeria.

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Nigeria’s foreign reserves rise to $52.66 billion, highest in 17 years

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Nigeria’s gross external reserves surged to $52.66 billion as of August 19, reaching their highest level in more than 17 years.

This was contained in the latest data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The reserves stood at $52.65 billion on August 19, up from $45.56 billion recorded on January 2, representing an increase of about $7.09 billion or 15.6 percent in less than eight months.

The latest position also surpasses the previous 2026 peak of about $52.04 billion recorded in July.

Data from the CBN showed that reserves crossed the $52 billion mark for the first time this year in July, reaching $52.02 billion on July 20.

The figure was the highest since January 2009, when reserves stood at about $52.01 billion.

The reserve position had declined earlier in the year, falling from $49.18 billion on April 1 to about $48.33 billion in early May.

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It subsequently recovered, crossing the $50 billion mark in June and rising above $51 billion before surpassing $52 billion in July.

The governor of the CBN, Olayemi Cardoso, had earlier attributed the increase in reserves to stronger foreign exchange inflows, including receipts from crude-oil-related taxes and third-party inflows.

Cardoso also said the reserve level provided import cover for about 11 months of goods and services, significantly above the three-month international benchmark.

The increase in the external buffer has coincided with improved foreign exchange liquidity and a stronger naira.

Recent market data showed the naira appreciating to about N1,346.49 per dollar in the official market last week.

Also, in its 2026 macroeconomic outlook, the apex bank projected that Nigeria’s external reserves would rise to about $51.04 billion by the end of the year.

The latest figure is about $1.62 billion above that projection.

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Wema Bank wins Euromoney’s Nigeria’s best digital bank for consumers 2026 award

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Recognition affirms bank’s leadership in digital innovation and customer-centric banking

Wema Bank, Nigeria’s oldest indigenous bank and pioneer of Africa’s first fully digital bank, ALAT, recently added another feather to its already heavily-studded cap after it was named Nigeria’s Best Digital Bank for Consumers 2026 by Euromoney, one of the world’s most respected authorities on financial services and banking excellence.

The prestigious recognition affirms the Bank’s sustained leadership in digital innovation, customer experience and financial inclusion, reinforcing its position as one of Nigeria’s leading technology-driven financial institutions.

Presented annually, the Euromoney Awards for Excellence celebrate banks that are redefining financial services through innovation, measurable impact and outstanding customer value.

In selecting Wema Bank for the award, Euromoney recognised the Bank’s successful digital transformation journey, its continuous innovation through ALAT, Africa’s first fully digital bank, and its unwavering commitment to delivering simpler, smarter and more accessible banking experiences for customers.

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Commenting on the recognition, the Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Wema Bank, Moruf Oseni, said: “This award is a strong validation of the deliberate investments we have made over the years to build a truly digital bank that puts customers at the centre of everything we do. Innovation for us has never been about technology for its own sake. It has always been about creating solutions that make banking easier, faster, safer and more rewarding for every customer.

“From pioneering Africa’s first fully digital bank with ALAT to continuously evolving our digital capabilities, we have remained focused on anticipating customer needs and building experiences that create real value. We are honoured by this recognition from Euromoney and inspired to continue pushing the boundaries of innovation as we shape the future of banking in Nigeria.”

A key milestone in Wema Bank’s digital transformation has been the evolution and upgraded version of ALAT, which introduced next-generation capabilities including voice banking, tap-to-pay functionality, personalised financial services and integrated investment opportunities through strategic partnerships.

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Together with faster digital onboarding, AI-powered fraud monitoring, intelligent customer personalisation and an expanding agency banking network, these innovations continue to enhance customer experience while extending financial services to more Nigerians.

Euromoney also recognised Wema Bank’s ability to leverage technology to build deeper customer relationships through data-driven personalisation, enabling customers to receive tailored recommendations across savings, investments and credit products based on their financial needs and behaviour.

For over eight decades, Wema Bank has remained at the forefront of innovation in Nigeria’s financial services industry. As the pioneer of Africa’s first fully digital bank, the Bank continues to redefine banking by combining technology, customer insight and innovation to deliver seamless, secure and inclusive financial solutions for individuals, businesses and communities.

The Euromoney recognition further reinforces Wema Bank’s commitment to building the future of banking through continuous innovation, operational excellence and customer-centric solutions that create lasting value.

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CBN revokes licences of 46 microfinance banks

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has revoked the operating licences of 46 microfinance banks (MFBs).

The apex bank cited the failure of the banks to meet regulatory requirements for continued operation.

In a statement issued on Wednesday by Hakama Sidi-Ali, acting director of corporate communications, the apex bank said the revocation took effect from July 1, 2026, in line with Sections 12 and 13 of the Banks and Other Financial Institutions Act (BOFIA), 2020.

The CBN said the action was approved by Olayemi Cardoso, the apex bank governor, as part of efforts to safeguard the stability of the financial system, protect depositors and ensure compliance with regulatory standards.

“According to the revocation order, the action became necessary because of one or more of the circumstances: Insufficient assets to meet liabilities, closure of operations without the CBN approval, Inactivity and cessation of financial intermediation, failure to commence operations within 12 months of licence approval, and failure to maintain minimum capital funds unimpaired by losses,” CBN said.

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“The revocation of the licences is part of the Bank’s ongoing efforts to safeguard the stability of the financial sector, protect depositors, and ensure that licensed institutions comply with current laws and regulatory requirements,” the statement reads.

CBN added that it remains committed to promoting a safe, sound and resilient financial system and would continue to take supervisory and regulatory actions where necessary to maintain public confidence in Nigeria’s financial sector.

The affected microfinance banks are:

1. Minji-Se Churchill MFB (tier 1) in Rivers

2. Merchant MFB (tier 2) in Abia

3. Janmaa MFB (tier 1) in Kwara

4. Busu MFB (tier 2) in Niger

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5. Gold MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

6. Zain MFB, formerly Dawakin Tofa MFB, a tier 2 lender in Kano

7. Bompai MFB (tier 1) in Kano

8. Ajwa MFB (tier 2) in Kano

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9. Now Now Digital MFB (tier 2) in Kano

10. Crystabel Microfinance Bank (tier 1) in Bayelsa

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11. Chanelle MFB (state-based) in Lagos

12. Abia SME MFB (tier 1) in Abia

13. Kamba MFB (tier 2) in Kebbi

14. Iwade MFB (tier 2) in Ogun

15. Winview MFB (tier 1) in Abuja

16. Zuru MFB (tier 2) in Kebbi

17. Minjibir MFB (tier 1) in Kano

18. Shanono MFB (tier 2) in Kano

19. Sumaila MFB (tier 2) in Kano

20. Rimin Gado MFB (tier 2) in Kano

21. Mwaghavul MFB (state-based) in Plateau

22. Sycamore MFB (tier 2) Kano

23. TOFA MFB (tier 2) in Kano

24. Safegate MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

25. Creekline MFB (tier 2) in Delta

26. Bestar MFB (tier 1) in Oyo

27. Livingspring MFB (tier 1) in Cross River

28. Apple MFB (tier 2) in Ogun

29. Stanford MFB (state-based) in Uyo

30. Frontline MFB (tier 2) in Anambra

31. Zafec MFB (tier 2) in Kaduna

32. Supreme MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

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33. Bejin-Doko MFB (tier 2) in Niger

34. Kanopoly MFB (tier 1) in Kano

35. Bellbank MFB, formerly Tsanyawa (Tier 2), in Kano

36. Yeneng MFB (tier 2) in Plateau

37. Creditville MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

38. MBAG MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

39. Straight Sahara MFB (tier 1) in Benue

40. Our Pass MFB (tier 2) in Ondo

41. VERDANT MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

42. Basawa MFB (tier 2) in Kaduna

43. Casha MFB (tier 2) in Abuja

44. Esteem MFB (tier 2) in Kano

45. Enterpreneur MFB (tier 1) in Lagos

46. Avantus MFB (tier 2) in Osun

It would be recalled that the CBN increased the capital base for banks, in March 2024, giving them until March 31, 2026, to meet the requirements.

On March 6, 2026, the financial regulator disclosed that 30 banks have met the minimum capital requirement.

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