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IMF downgrades Nigeria’s economic growth forecast to 3.1%

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The International Monetary Fund has cut its forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth in 2024 to 3.1 per cent.

 

The downgrade is contained in a newly released report ‘in the July 2024 World Economic Outlook’ published Tuesday.

 

The IMF cited a weaker growth recorded in the first quarter of the year, Q1’24 as reason for the new forecast.

 

The downgrade represents 0.2 percentage points below the earlier forecast of 3.3 per cent.
The downgrade followed weaker-than-expected Gross Domestic Product, GDP, and growth recorded by the country in Q1’23.

 

The IMF however retained its 3.0 per cent forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth in 2025.

 

It would be recalled that Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), showed that Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), growth dropped, quarter-on-quarter, QoQ to 2.98 per cent in Q1’24 from 3.46 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2023, Q3’23.

 

As a result of the lower forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth, the IMF also downgraded its forecast for Sub-Saharan economic growth in 2024 to 3.7 per cent from the April WEO forecast of 3.8 per cent. It however raised its economic growth forecast for the region in 2025 to 4.1 per cent from 4.0.

 

“The forecast for growth in sub-Saharan Africa is revised downward, mainly as a result of a 0.2 percentage point downward revision to the growth outlook in Nigeria amid weaker than expected activity in the first quarter of this year,” the IMF said.

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For the global economy, the IMF retained its growth forecasts of 3.2 per cent in 2024 and 3.3 per cent in 2025.

 

The IMF said: “The Global Economy in a Sticky Spot Global growth is projected to be in line with the April 2024 World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecast, at 3.2 per cent in 2024 and 3.3 per cent in 2025.

 

“However, varied momentum in activity at the turn of the year has somewhat narrowed the output divergence across economies as cyclical factors wane and activity becomes better aligned with its potential.

“Services price inflation is holding up progress on disinflation, which is complicating monetary policy normalization. Upside risks to inflation have thus increased, raising the prospect of higher-for-even-longer interest rates, in the context of escalating trade tensions and increased policy uncertainty.

 

“To manage these risks and preserve growth, the policy mix should be sequenced carefully to achieve price stability and replenish diminished buffers.”

 

The development comes on the heels of Nigeria’s inflation figure reaching a new high, hitting 34.19 % for June 2024, according to the latest data from the NBS.

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This is an increase of 0.24% compared to the inflation figure for May 2024 released by the NBS.

“In June 2024, the headline inflation rate increased to 34.19% relative to the May 2024 headline inflation rate which was 33.95%. Looking at the movement, the June 2024 headline inflation rate showed an increase of 0.24% points when compared to the May 2024 headline inflation rate,” the NBS said in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) – which measures the average change over time in the prices of goods and services consumed by people for day-to-day living – released on Monday.

 

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.40% points higher compared to the rate recorded in June 2023, which was 22.79%.”

 

According to the NBS, the headline inflation rate, year-on-year basis, jumped in June 2024 when compared to the same month in the last year.

 

It said on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in June 2024 was 2.31%, 0.17% higher than the rate recorded in May 2024 (2.14%).

 

“This means that in the month of June 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is higher than the rate of increase in the average price level in May 2024,” the agency said.

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As expected, there was a rise in food inflation for June 2024 in comparison with the figure recorded in May 2024.

 

“On a month-on-month basis, the Food inflation rate in June 2024 was 2.55% which shows a 0.26% increase compared to the rate recorded in May 2024 (2.28%),” the CPI report read.

 

According to the NBS, this hike was triggered by a rise in the average prices of food items such as groundnut oil, palm oil, etc (oil & fats class), water yam, cocoyam, cassava, etc (potatoes, yam & other tubers class), tobacco, catfish fresh, croaker, mudfish fresh, snail, etc, (fish class).

 

The Federal Government had in the wake of the galloping prices of essential commodities, reeled out a raft of measures to address the challenge. It recently suspended duties, tariffs, and taxes on the importation of maize, husked brown rice, wheat, and cowpeas through the country’s land and sea borders, for 150 days.

 

It also approved the procurement of 2,000 tractors, and 1,200 trailers and set up a committee to help in proffering solutions to the food crisis rocking the nation.

 

Experts have blamed insecurity, lack of equipment, and other issues as major challenges affecting food production in Nigeria.

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NNPC: Nigeria’s has capacity for 3m barrels crude oil production per day if…

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company says the country can get up to three million barrels per day of crude if all the stakeholders in the oil sector work in synergy.

The country currently produces an average of 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd), according to data from the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

Olufemi Soneye, NNPC’s chief corporate communications officer, spoke at an interactive session with reporters covering the national assembly in Abuja on Saturday.

 

Soneye said the country is now averaging 1.7 million bpd because of a recent directive President Bola Tinubu gave to security agencies.

 

“Three million barrels oil production per day is achievable in Nigeria if all the stakeholders work in synergy for that purpose from the security agencies both government and private owned, to oil companies and host communities,” he said.

 

“With the expected synergy from all the relevant stakeholders in the war against oil theft and pipeline vandalism, the enabling environment would be in place for optimal oil production to the volume of 2.5 to 3 million bpd.

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“At a time, we felt that Nigeria was in trouble as far as oil theft was concerned, but with the intensity of the war against it (crude oil theft) has allayed our fears.”

 

Murtala Muhammad, NNPC’s deputy manager, command and control centre, said in six months, over 8,000 illegal refineries and 5,800 illegal oil pipelines were found and destroyed.

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Wema Bank Certified Great Place To Work for the Second Time in a Row

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Wema Bank, Nigeria’s most innovative bank and pioneer of Africa’s first fully digital bank, ALAT, has been officially certified as a Great Place To Work for the year 2024-2025, marking the Bank’s second consecutive year receiving the Great Place To Work (GPTW) certification.

Great Place To Work is recognised worldwide as the global authority on workplace culture. With a comprehensive assessment of organisational culture, practices and employee feedback, the Great Place To Work certification serves as an unequivocal endorsement of an organisation’s positive work culture and commitment to employee well-being—as is the case with Wema Bank’s two-time Great Place To Work certification.

Wema Bank’s remarkable track record reflects an unwavering commitment to employee well-being and positive work culture. The Bank currently offers one of the longest standard leave days in the industry, provides employees with a Cost-Of-Living Adjustment (COLA) to cushion the impact of economic fluctuations, provides employees with a standard crèche for their infants and a fully equipped gym for fitness enthusiasts, and within the year, also increased salaries for Non Full-Time Equivalent (NFTE) employees.

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From work-life balance to prioritising mental health for employees, promoting physiological wellness and enhancing professional expertise towards career success, upward reviews of allowances and a host of other unique benefits Wema Bank continues to curate for its employees; the Bank is evidently deserving of its successive Great Place To Work certifications.

 

Moruf Oseni, the MD/CEO of Wema Bank, attributed the two-time certification to the Bank’s deep-rooted commitment to employee wellbeing.

“At Wema Bank, we understand that our exceptional output as a Bank is a result of the dedicated input of our employees, the Wema Bank Knights, and we acknowledge the indispensable role they continue to play in our growth and success as a Bank. This is why we continue to pull all the stops in providing an enriching, productive, supportive and fulfilling work experience for our employees. This is a commitment that we will never compromise on”.

 

“We are honoured by the recognition accorded to us by Great Place To Work. This certification not only attests to our dedication to fostering a culture of excellence and empowering our employees with the best quality of work experience towards their personal and professional success, but also drives us to keep up the good work and exceed even more goals and expectations in enhancing employee experience.

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“We take this as a challenge to go above and beyond in providing a fulfilling work experience for every Wema Bank employee and we trust that the strength of our internal framework will continue to reflect positively externally as we fulfil our lifelong goal of providing optimum value for every stakeholder of Wema Bank”, Oseni concluded.

Wema Bank earned its first Great Place To Work certificate in 2023, additionally bagging four awards at the Great Place To Work Awards 2023, which are: 2nd Best Place to Work in Nigeria (Large Corporate Organisation Category), Best in Promoting the Culture of Innovation by All, Best in Promoting Learning and Development Practices and The Victor Ligbago Award for Best Workplace for Millennials.

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Otedola acquires additional N16bn shares in FBN Holdings

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Femi Otedola, the chairman of First Bank of Nigeria (FBN) Holdings and majority shareholder, has increased his stake in the financial company to 13.15 percent.

Otedola increased his stake after purchasing 534,094,407 shares at the cost of N16.02 billion between September 23 and 25.

FBN Holdings notified the capital market in a statement on Thursday.

The acquisition raised his interest in FBN Holdings from 11.67 percent (4,187,602,704 shares) to 13.15 percent (4,721,697,111 shares), worth N136.9 billion as of Wednesday.

It also expands the gap between Otedola and Barbican Capital Limited, FBN Holdings’ second majority investor with an 8.67 percent stake, which represents 3,110,400,619 shares, valued at N90.2 billion as of Wednesday.

Although there is contention over the exact shares Barbican Capital holds in FBN Holdings.

In a lawsuit (no. FHC/L/CS/1172/24) against FBN Holdings, Barbican Capital, owned by Oba Otudeko, claimed that about 5,386,397,202 units of shares representing 15.1 percent of FBN Holdings were acquired over the years and at different times.

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Barbican Capital said its shares purchases and dates of issue, were adequately captured by Meristem Registrar and Probate Service Ltd, the financial institution’s appointed registrars, and further acknowledged in the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS), which contained its value of shares with the bank.

CSCS is Nigeria’s central securities depository (CSD) licensed to carry on the depository, clearing and settlement of all transactions in the country’s capital market.

In response, FBN Holdings said Barbican Capital only notified the financial institution on July 7, 2023, that about 4,770.269,843 units of shares were acquired.

FBN Holdings told the court that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) was only able to verify 3,110,400.619 units of shares out of the 4,770,269,843 shares Barbican Capital claimed it acquired.

The financial institution said CBN’s inability to verify all the shares was due to insufficient documents, as Barbican Capital allegedly refused to submit documents requested by the apex bank for the verification process of the shares acquired.

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FBN Holdings said CBN guidelines for ‘Licencing and Regulation of Financial Holding Companies (FHCs) in Nigeria’ — issued pursuant to the Central Bank Act of 2007 and Banking and Other Financial Institutions Act 2004 — mandates financial holding companies to seek approval from the CBN before the purchase of an FHC’s shareholding of 5 percent and above; or if the share units are purchased on the secondary market.

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