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IMF downgrades Nigeria’s economic growth forecast to 3.1%

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The International Monetary Fund has cut its forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth in 2024 to 3.1 per cent.

 

The downgrade is contained in a newly released report ‘in the July 2024 World Economic Outlook’ published Tuesday.

 

The IMF cited a weaker growth recorded in the first quarter of the year, Q1’24 as reason for the new forecast.

 

The downgrade represents 0.2 percentage points below the earlier forecast of 3.3 per cent.
The downgrade followed weaker-than-expected Gross Domestic Product, GDP, and growth recorded by the country in Q1’23.

 

The IMF however retained its 3.0 per cent forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth in 2025.

 

It would be recalled that Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), showed that Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), growth dropped, quarter-on-quarter, QoQ to 2.98 per cent in Q1’24 from 3.46 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2023, Q3’23.

 

As a result of the lower forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth, the IMF also downgraded its forecast for Sub-Saharan economic growth in 2024 to 3.7 per cent from the April WEO forecast of 3.8 per cent. It however raised its economic growth forecast for the region in 2025 to 4.1 per cent from 4.0.

 

“The forecast for growth in sub-Saharan Africa is revised downward, mainly as a result of a 0.2 percentage point downward revision to the growth outlook in Nigeria amid weaker than expected activity in the first quarter of this year,” the IMF said.

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For the global economy, the IMF retained its growth forecasts of 3.2 per cent in 2024 and 3.3 per cent in 2025.

 

The IMF said: “The Global Economy in a Sticky Spot Global growth is projected to be in line with the April 2024 World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecast, at 3.2 per cent in 2024 and 3.3 per cent in 2025.

 

“However, varied momentum in activity at the turn of the year has somewhat narrowed the output divergence across economies as cyclical factors wane and activity becomes better aligned with its potential.

“Services price inflation is holding up progress on disinflation, which is complicating monetary policy normalization. Upside risks to inflation have thus increased, raising the prospect of higher-for-even-longer interest rates, in the context of escalating trade tensions and increased policy uncertainty.

 

“To manage these risks and preserve growth, the policy mix should be sequenced carefully to achieve price stability and replenish diminished buffers.”

 

The development comes on the heels of Nigeria’s inflation figure reaching a new high, hitting 34.19 % for June 2024, according to the latest data from the NBS.

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This is an increase of 0.24% compared to the inflation figure for May 2024 released by the NBS.

“In June 2024, the headline inflation rate increased to 34.19% relative to the May 2024 headline inflation rate which was 33.95%. Looking at the movement, the June 2024 headline inflation rate showed an increase of 0.24% points when compared to the May 2024 headline inflation rate,” the NBS said in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) – which measures the average change over time in the prices of goods and services consumed by people for day-to-day living – released on Monday.

 

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.40% points higher compared to the rate recorded in June 2023, which was 22.79%.”

 

According to the NBS, the headline inflation rate, year-on-year basis, jumped in June 2024 when compared to the same month in the last year.

 

It said on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in June 2024 was 2.31%, 0.17% higher than the rate recorded in May 2024 (2.14%).

 

“This means that in the month of June 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is higher than the rate of increase in the average price level in May 2024,” the agency said.

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As expected, there was a rise in food inflation for June 2024 in comparison with the figure recorded in May 2024.

 

“On a month-on-month basis, the Food inflation rate in June 2024 was 2.55% which shows a 0.26% increase compared to the rate recorded in May 2024 (2.28%),” the CPI report read.

 

According to the NBS, this hike was triggered by a rise in the average prices of food items such as groundnut oil, palm oil, etc (oil & fats class), water yam, cocoyam, cassava, etc (potatoes, yam & other tubers class), tobacco, catfish fresh, croaker, mudfish fresh, snail, etc, (fish class).

 

The Federal Government had in the wake of the galloping prices of essential commodities, reeled out a raft of measures to address the challenge. It recently suspended duties, tariffs, and taxes on the importation of maize, husked brown rice, wheat, and cowpeas through the country’s land and sea borders, for 150 days.

 

It also approved the procurement of 2,000 tractors, and 1,200 trailers and set up a committee to help in proffering solutions to the food crisis rocking the nation.

 

Experts have blamed insecurity, lack of equipment, and other issues as major challenges affecting food production in Nigeria.

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Banks to charge 7.5 VAT for mobile transfer, PoS transaction fees

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Banks are set to commence the deduction of 7.5 percent value-added tax (VAT) on banking services, including point of sale (POS) transaction fees, mobile banking transfer fees, from January 19. 

In an email to customers, Moniepoint Microfinance Bank said the charge stems from a government-endorsed regulatory change.

According to reports, the VAT is charged on the N50 stamp duty and does not affect the actual amount being transferred or withdrawn.

The proceeds of the charge will be remitted to the Nigerian Revenue Service (NRS).

“We would like to inform you of an upcoming government-endorsed regulatory change regarding Value Added Tax (VAT),” Moniepoint said.

“From Monday, 19 January 2026, we are required to collect a 7.5% VAT, to be remitted to the Nigerian Revenue Service (NRS) (formerly known as the Federal Inland Revenue Service).

“VAT will apply to certain banking services that include: electronic banking charges such as POS transaction fees, mobile banking fees (transfers), USSD transaction fees, POS activation fee, card issuance fee and Moniebook subscription.”

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According to the bank, the charge also applies to other fees, such as loan processing and documentation fees.

“Services that DO NOT attract VAT include: interest on loans and advances, and interest on deposits and savings,” Moniepoint said.

“Please note: This is not a price increase by Moniepoint. Moniepoint is required to collect and remit VAT to the Nigerian Revenue Service (NRS).

“The NRS has communicated a deadline of 19th January for all financial institutions (commercial banks, microfinance banks and electronic money transfer operators) to start collecting and remitting VAT.”

The bank clarified that VAT applies only to banking or service fees and not to interest, adding that the charge will be listed separately on transaction reports and statements.

The new tax laws retain the VAT rate at 7.5 percent.

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Wema Bank Launches Upgraded Version of ALAT Banking App

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…introduces Voice Banking, Tap and Pay and Uptime Prediction

Wema Bank, Nigeria’s most innovative bank and pioneer of Africa’s first fully digital bank, ALAT, has launched the upgraded version of its flagship digital banking platform, ALAT by Wema. Designed as the next phase in digital banking, the upgraded version of ALAT delivers a smarter, faster, and more intuitive experience, reinforcing Wema Bank’s leadership in technology-driven financial services.

 

Tagged ALAT: The Evolution, the upgraded version represents a significant advancement in how customers interact with their bank.

 

It enables seamless banking through intelligent features such as voice banking (called SAW), which allows customers to carry out banking activities using natural voice commands, reducing friction and improving accessibility. It also introduces Tap and Pay for quick, secure, and convenient contactless transactions, alongside uptime prediction that enhances transparency, reliability, and confidence around service availability.

 

Together, these innovations are designed to simplify everyday banking while anticipating customer needs in real time, reinforcing Wema Bank’s commitment to trust, efficiency, and customer-centric digital experiences.

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Announcing the upgraded version, the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Wema Bank, Mr. Moruf Oseni, said, “ALAT: The Evolution is more than an upgrade. It is a clear demonstration of our commitment to redefining digital banking in Africa.

” By understanding the future of banking and listening closely to our customers, we have upgraded ALAT by Wema to a digital banking platform that is smart, intelligent and dependable.

“This evolution reinforces our promise to deliver innovation that genuinely enhances how people live, work, and transact everyday.”

 

He added that migrating to the upgraded app is seamless. “Existing customers can simply visit the Google Play Store or Apple App Store to update their existing ALAT app and sign-in with their existing login details (All their account information and transaction history remain intact on their profile and they will also gain access to new features that make banking faster, more intuitive, and more reliable).

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For new customers, all they have to do is visit the Google Play Store or Apple App Store to download ALAT by Wema app and click the Get Started icon to onboard seamlessly.

 

Speaking on the technology in the upgraded ALAT by Wema, Mr. Olusegun Adeniyi, Chief Digital Officer at Wema Bank, explained, “With ALAT: The Evolution, we set out to enhance not just functionality but the overall banking experience. By integrating voice banking, contactless payments, and predictive reliability, we are delivering a platform that is built on powerful technology and responds intelligently to customer needs. This upgrade reflects our long-term digital vision to create a digital bank that is adaptive, intuitive, and consistently available.”

 

Built on speed, intelligence, and user-centric design, ALAT: The Evolution redefines everyday banking through intuitive features such as voice-enabled transactions, contactless payments, and predictive service reliability. Designed to anticipate customer needs in real time, the platform delivers a smarter, more seamless, and dependable digital banking experience that reflects Wema Bank’s vision for the future of finance.

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With the upgraded version of ALAT, Wema Bank continues to strengthen its position as a digital-first institution, delivering innovative solutions that empower individuals and businesses to bank with confidence in an increasingly digital economy.

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Energy Tycoon, Wale Tinubu hails Otedola, Elumelu on mega deals

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Billionaire energy tycoon, Jubril Adewle Tinubu has hailed two of Nigeria’s influential investors —Femi Otedola and Tony Elumelu —for wrapping up the year 2025 and ringed in 2026 with two landmark deals.

 

In a post Thursday on his various social handles, Tinubu spotlights Otedola’s ‘investor foresightedness’ and Elumelu’s deliberate ‘bet on African capability’ as inspiring moves in the energy sector that will spur others into a roaring start.

 

The Oando Plc Group Chief Executive wrote: “Reflecting on the first week of work in 2026, Femi Otedola and Tony O. Elumelu have given us a roaring start already. With the Geregu exit, Femi turned an investment in power into a landmark deal, while simultaneously deepening his position in banking. This speaks to deft positioning.

 

“Femi, you backed investor foresight with conviction and knew exactly when to act decisively. The mark of an exceptional investor is not simply in making an investment. The mastery lies in knowing when to exit. This, I must admit, was executed in spectacular fashion.

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“For Tony, stepping into Seplat as a major shareholder is a long, deliberate bet on African capability; on ownership; on governance and on the belief that our energy future should increasingly be shaped by those who live and build at home. These are exceptional deals that set the tone not just for the year ahead, but for how value is truly created,” Tinubu concluded.

 

Industry stakeholders have equally described the two billionaires’ late 2025 megadeals as a fast changing pecking order in the volatile energy sector.

 

Otedola had reportedly cashed out when he ceded control of his high-yielding Geregu Power Plc through a change at the holding company level.

 

The billionaire businessman has divested his 77 per cent controlling stake in the company in a landmark $750m transaction.

 

In a notice filed with the Nigerian Exchange, NGX, Otedola exited Geregu as majority shareholder with MA’AM Energy Ltd acquired 95% of his Amperion Power Distribution Co., changing the ultimate beneficial ownership of 77% of Geregu’s issued share capital.

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Geregu is among the NGX’s most watched electricity stocks, helped by steady earnings in a market hit by gas constraints and payment shortfalls.

 

Otedola, it is learnt, intends to redeploy the capital into financial sector investments. The Epe-born investor is the Chairman of First HoldCo Plc, a financial holding company he owns more than 18 percent of its stake.

 

Elumelu, the banking tycoon, also through his Heirs Group, created a sensation at the twilight of 2025 when he bought Maurel & Prom entire 20.07% stake —about 120.4 million shares— in Seplat Plc, in a deal valued at roughly $500 million.

 

Seplat’s rise has been fueled by a $1.28 billion purchase of ExxonMobil’s onshore business, completed last year, which added oil blocks, fields and export infrastructure.

 

On his part, Tinubu has also emerged one of the few titans who command a great deal of reverence in Nigeria’s vast and ever-evolving energy landscape. He has led his Oando Plc into a status of one of Nigeria’s best known indigenous energy names, listed in Lagos and Johannesburg, with upstream interests and trading and logistics operations.

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