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UPDATED: Nigeria’s GDP grew by 3.46% in Q4 2023 – NBS

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The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), says Nigeria’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 3.46 percent in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2023.

 

The growth rate, the data bureau said, is lower than the 3.52 percent recorded in the same quarter in 2022 and higher than the 2.54 percent recorded in the third quarter (Q3) of 2023.

 

NBS disclosed this in its GDP report for Q4, released on Thursday.

 

The bureau said the growth rate was mainly driven by the services sector, which recorded a 3.98 percent and contributed 56.55 percent to the aggregate GDP.

 

“The agriculture sector grew by 2.10%, from the growth of 2.05% recorded in the fourth quarter of 2022,” the NBS said.

 

“The growth of the industry sector was 3.86%, an improvement from -0.94% recorded in the fourth quarter of 2022.

 

“In terms of share of the GDP, industry, and the services sectors contributed more to the aggregate GDP in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the fourth quarter of 2022. On an annual basis, GDP grew by 2.74% in 2023 relative to 3.10% in 2022.”

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On an annual basis, GDP grew by 2.74 percent in 2023 relative to 3.10 percent in 2022, the NBS said.

 

The statistics body further said in Q4, the country’s nominal GDP stood at N65.9 trillion — higher than the 60.5 trillion recorded in Q3 2023.

 

NBS added that the performance is also higher relative to the fourth quarter of 2022 which recorded an aggregate GDP of N56.7 trillion, indicating a year-on-year nominal growth of 16.12 percent.

OIL PRODUCTION HITS 1.5M BARRELS IN Q4 2023

The report said in the quarter under review, Nigeria recorded an average daily oil production of 1.55 million barrels per day (mbpd).

 

This is higher than the daily average production of 1.34mbpd recorded in the same quarter of 2022 by 0.21mbpd and higher than the Q3 2023 production volume of 1.45mbpd by 0.10mbpd.

 

“The real growth of the oil sector was 12.11% (year-on-year) in Q4 2023, indicating an increase of 25.50% points relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2022 (-13.38%). Growth also increased by 12.96% points when compared to Q3 2023 which was -0.85%,” the bureau said.

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“On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the oil sector recorded a growth rate of -3.81% in Q4 2023. On an annual basis, the oil sector growth stood at -2.22% in 2023 compared to -19.22% in 2022.

 

“The Oil sector contributed 4.70% to the total real GDP in Q4 2023, up from the figure recorded in the corresponding period of 2022 and down from the preceding quarter, where it contributed 4.34% and 5.48% respectively.”

 

‘NON-OIL SECTOR CONTRIBUTED 95.3% TO Q4 2023 GDP’

NBS said the non-oil sector grew by 3.07 percent in real terms during the reference quarter.

 

However, the firm said the rate was lower by 1.37 percent points compared to the rate recorded in the same quarter of 2022 and 0.32 percent points
higher than the rate of Q3 2023.

“This sector was driven in the fourth quarter of 2023 mainly by financial and insurance (financial institutions); Information and Communication (Telecommunication); agriculture (Crop production); trade; construction; manufacturing (food, beverage, and tobacco) and real estate, accounting for positive GDP growth,” NBS said.

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“On an annual basis, the non-oil sector growth in 2023 stood at 3.04% relative to 4.84% recorded in 2022. In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 95.30% to the nation’s GDP in the fourth quarter of 2023.”

 

The bureau added that the non-oil sector’s performance was lower than the share recorded in the Q4 in 2022 which was 95.66 percent; and higher than the Q3 2023 result recorded at 94.52 percent.

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We Have Put in Place definitive measures to Bolster our Production’ – Oando GCE, Wale Tinubu

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After releasing the FY 2022 financial statements, Oando Plc has followed up with a press statement to address its net loss of N81.2 billion incurred in 2022, citing militancy and pipeline vandalism as major culprits.

 

Despite reporting a gross turnover of N1.99 trillion during the fiscal year, the group posted a loss after tax of N81.2 billion, a significant downturn from the N39.2 billion profit after tax posted in 2021.

 

Speaking on the result, Wale Tinubu, Group Chief Executive of Oando Plc, noted, “The heightened militancy and pipeline vandalism acts within the Niger Delta region dealt a substantial blow to our upstream operations, resulting in a marked reduction in our crude production volumes due to the protracted shut-ins for repair following each incidence.

 

“This was further compounded by a major gas plant fire incident which also necessitated a lengthy downtime.

 

“Furthermore, a rise in our net interest expense due to increased interest rates on several of our major facilities in line with global rates increases, also contributed to our Loss after Tax position.

 

“In response, we have put in place definitive measures to bolster our production and cash inflows towards ensuring a speedy return to profitability by collaborating with our partners to institute a comprehensive security framework aimed at permanently curbing the persistent pipeline vandalism whilst concurrently exploring inorganic growth opportunities to increase our reserves and production capabilities.

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“We have also implemented a strategic restructuring of our key facilities to ensure they align with our cash flow dynamics.”

 

Pipeline vandalism cost Nigeria N471 billion in 5 Years Economic implication of oil theft in Nigeria.

 

Theft and vandalism of oil installations is a major problem plaguing the oil and gas sector in Nigeria. The crime of oil theft has had a negative impact on the national economy and the business of local and international oil companies operating in the upstream sector.

 

Although there is no precise figure to quantify the financial impact of oil theft on the Nigerian economy, a study conducted by Dimkpa et al. (2023) estimates that Nigeria lost approximately $33.6 billion in oil revenue to oil theft between 2019 and 2022.

 

A significant economic implication for Nigeria has been the consistent decline in oil production. Nigeria’s average oil production in 2022 was at 1.45 million barrels per day, an almost 1-million-barrel decline from the 2.4 million barrels per day produced by Nigeria in 2012.

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In 2022, Oando’s total upstream production amounted to 20,703 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/day). This comprised 4,939 barrels per day of crude oil, 472 barrels per day of natural gas liquids, and 15,292 barrels per day of natural gas.

 

This figure represents a 22.7% decline from the 26,775 boe/d output reported by the group in 2021.

 

According to the company’s press statement, the decline in production was attributed to downtimes caused by shut-ins for repairs and sabotage activities.

 

In 2022, Oando Plc sold approximately 21.8 million barrels of crude oil, representing a 25% increase from the 17.4 million barrels sold in 2021. The group also sold about 1.94 million metric tonnes of refined petroleum, representing a 101% increase from the 962,371 metric tonnes sold in 2021.

 

Despite recording a decline in oil output, the group was able to sell an increased amount of crude oil due to its contracts with the then Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), ultimately contributing to its 148% revenue growth in 2022.

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In 2022, Oando sold crude oil at an average realized oil price of $101.55/barrel and a gas price of $14.74/Boe, compared to 2021’s prices of $62.14/barrel for crude oil and $9.95/Boe for gas.

 

OMLs 60 to 63 gulped about $77.7 million in capital expenditure (CAPEX) from Oando, while OML 56 and OML 13 gulped about $22.6 million and $200,000 respectively. The group also spent $1.4 million in capital expenditure (CAPEX) on other assets.

 

As of 2022, Oando owned 20% stake in OMLs 60 to 63, as Nigerian Agip Oil Company (NAOC) also owned a 20% stake.

 

However, Oando is in the process of purchasing NAOC’s 20% stake in the oil fields, which will push its stake up to 40%.

 

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UPDATED: Dangote refinery slashes diesel price to N940 per litre

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Dangote Petroleum Refinery has announced another reduction in the prices of both diesel and aviation fuel to N940 and N980 per litre, respectively.

 

The development comes days after the refinery reduced diesel price to N1,000 per litre.

 

In a statement on Tuesday, the refinery said the price change of N940 is applicable to customers buying five million litres or more from the refinery, while those purchasing one million litres or more will pay N970.

 

According to the company, this marks the third major reduction in diesel price “in less than three weeks when the product sold at N1,700 to N1,200 and also a further reduction to N1,000 and now N940 for diesel and N980 for aviation fuel per litre”.

Speaking on the new development, Anthony Chiejina, head of communication, Dangote Group, said the new price is in tandem with the company’s commitment to alleviating the effect of economic hardship in Nigeria.

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“I can confirm to you that Dangote Petroleum Refinery has entered a strategic partnership with MRS Oil and Gas stations, to ensure that consumers get to buy fuel at affordable price, in all their stations be it Lagos or Maiduguri,” he said.

 

“You can buy as low as 1 litre of diesel at N1,050 and aviation fuel at N980 at all major airports where MRS operates.”

 

He added that the partnership will be extended to other major oil marketers.

 

“The essence of this is to ensure that retail buyers do not buy at exorbitant prices,” he said.

 

“The Dangote Group is committed to ensuring that Nigerians have a better welfare and as such, we are happy to announce this new prices and hope that it would go a long way to cushion the effect of economic challenges in the country.”

Reacting to the latest development, Ajayi Kadiri, director-general of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), said the decision “to first crash the price from about N1,750/litre to N1,200/litre, N1,000/litre and now N940 is an eloquent demonstration of the capacity of local industries to positively impact the fortunes of the national economy”.

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“The trickledown effect of this singular intervention promises to change the dynamics in the energy cost equation of the country, in the midst of inadequate and rising cost of electricity,” Kadiri said.

 

He said the reduction will ease the high inflation rate in the country, and have far-reaching impact on critical sectors like industrial operations, transportation, logistics, and agriculture.

 

Kadiri added that companies will be back in operation due to the price reduction.

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JUST IN: Dangote refinery slashes diesel price to N940 per litre

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Dangote Petroleum Refinery has announced a further reduction in the prices of diesel and aviation fuel to N940 and N980 per litre, respectively.

 

The development comes days after the refinery slashed diesel price to N1,000.

 

Details later …

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